Will the Stock Market Go Up? An Expert's Perspective

The stock market has been on a roller coaster ride this year, with sharp declines followed by brief recoveries. But will the stock market go up in the long run? To answer this question, it's important to understand the factors that drive stock market performance and the current economic environment. Stock market crashes like these occur periodically and for a variety of reasons. Sometimes, the changes are related to excessive market valuations after a prolonged bull market.

In other cases, they may be due to external events that exceed other fundamental factors that traditionally drive stock market performance. Stocks rebounded in July after hitting their lows in June, but fell back again starting in August, as investor fears of a recession increased. After briefly exiting “bear market territory”, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite indices fell back to that level and reached their lowest points of the year in September. Market volatility also remains high. In the first two days of trading in October, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1,591 points, equivalent to a value increase of more than 5%.

Three days later, the index fell again by more than 1000 points, demonstrating the fragility of stock market recoveries in the current environment. Explanations for the most serious market declines are often easier to find after the events. In early 2000, an extended bear market began, which persisted until early 2003, following in the footsteps of a long-lasting bull market. The most notable factor behind this significant decline in stock prices was the bursting of a stock market “bubble” in technology stock prices, in particular for some early-stage dotcom companies, when investors stopped paying higher prices for companies with little or no profit.

Eric Freedman

, U. S.

Chief Investment Officer at Bank says it's important to maintain an adequate perspective on the environment. He warns that markets are likely to remain volatile. However, it urges investors to maintain a long-term perspective. What are the critical factors at play that could affect the timing of the stock market recovery? Freedman emphasizes that it is essential to have a plan that helps inform your investment decision-making, especially in times like these. Consult with your wealth planning professional to ensure that you are comfortable with your current investments and that your portfolio is structured in a manner consistent with your long-term financial goals.

Diversification and asset allocation do not guarantee profitability or protect against losses. Knowing your investment objectives and your risk tolerance helps us to diversify your portfolio with a combination of stocks, bonds and real assets. Find out why diversification matters The new tax provisions being considered by the House of Representatives and the Senate are included in the Inflation Reduction Act, recently passed by Congress and signed into law by the President. The stock market had a winning week, as investors weighed the possibility of the Federal Reserve slowing down due to sharp interest rate hikes. Investors are taking the news very seriously, even amid recent reports of persistent inflation affecting consumer prices on all kinds of things, from car repairs to visits to the vet and costs of. The S&P 500, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq Composite had rare weekly gains in an ongoing bear market, which is also in the middle of the earnings season right now.

So far, companies are reporting positive results, especially in the banking and technology industries. Social media stocks, including Meta (Facebook's parent company), Alphabet (Google's parent company) and Snap, warned that advertising revenues are lower than expected. Their stock prices fell in the news. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is looking for signs of economic and market slowdown as proof that rising interest rates are cooling strong inflation. Existing home sales are already at 10-year lows, with 30-year mortgage rates hovering around 7%, more than doubling the 3% rates at the beginning of the year.

Overall consumer payments for rents, mortgages and credit cards also increased, according to a Bank of America report. However, unemployment claims continue to fall, which is a sign that the labor market is still too hot. As the end of the year approaches, experts recommend staying the course and the average cost in dollars to achieve your long-term investment goals, regardless of what the market does. Even, and especially, when there is volatility in the stock market, the best course of action is to be vigilant but stick to your investment plans. It is impossible to time the market, and historically it has always recovered.

Stay on course through descents and peaks and remember why you're investing. Over the past few years, the abundance of jobs, high salaries and low interest rates have heated the economy to a point where daily expenses such as food, utilities and housing are now becoming more expensive. Two of the Federal Reserve's main mandates are to maintain a low level of unemployment and keep inflation to a minimum. It does so through monetary policy including adjusting the country's money supply, so that interest rates move towards the target rate.

This is because higher interest rates mean higher borrowing costs for businesses and individuals which should cool demand and reduce price growth.


, raising interest rates too quickly or too high could lead to a short-term economic recession something the Federal Reserve wants to avoid but it's a delicate balance to do well. There are still two more Fed meetings this year one in November and one in December which investors are eagerly awaiting.

GDP shrank

in the last quarter, but there is hope that it will rebound soon as investors wait for news from the Federal Reserve. In conclusion, while it's impossible to predict what will happen next with certainty due to external factors such as politics or natural disasters influencing markets unpredictably; staying informed about economic trends can help you make better decisions about your investments.

Willis Pankiw
Willis Pankiw

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